7

Filou D'anjou

11yo Gelding · 10-1

Vincennes · Prix Georges Dreux - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#10

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 10/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14110/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 128C0 @ Vincennes 11/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14111/01C?1 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1411 @ Vincennes 15/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 14115/021C0 @ Laval 11/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 17/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14117/04C?1 @ Vincennes 02/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 141C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1411/09C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?9th9th0
2026-05-02Vincennes111th11th0
2026-04-17Vincennes?8th8th0
2026-03-11Laval?8th8th0
2026-02-15Vincennes12nd2nd0
2026-01-25Vincennes11st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1225/0117/041/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/12/20254th40/10%70%+0.70
27/12/20257th12/137%60%+0.23
11/01/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
25/01/20261st80/10%100%+1.00
15/02/20262nd12/137%88%+0.51
11/03/20268th66/10%42%+0.42
17/04/20268th22/10%36%+0.36
02/05/202611th28/10%23%+0.23
01/09/20269th33/10%20%+0.20