10
Filwell
11yo Gelding · 10-1
Vincennes · Prix Georges Dreux - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Enghien | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength69%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/12/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 25/01/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 15/02/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 05/03/2026 | 14th | 100/1 | 0% | 24% | +0.24 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 90% | +0.85 |
| 01/09/2026 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 10% | -0.16 |