8

Halfa
9yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Georges Dreux - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-17 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-01 | Angers | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-01 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-18 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 21/09/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 10/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 03/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 10/12/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 04/01/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 18/01/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |