8

Halfa

9yo Mare · 10-3

Vincennes · Prix Georges Dreux - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#7

Rank

Odds

70/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 23/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14323/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 10/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14310/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 10/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14310/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 18/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14318/01C?1 @ Vincennes 28/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 143C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 01/04C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-02Vincennes10
2026-04-17Vincennes?0
2026-04-01Angers?7th7th0
2026-02-28Vincennes14th4th0
2026-02-01Vincennes?0
2026-01-18Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/083/1118/011/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend +3.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
21/09/20251st20/10%100%+1.00
10/10/20253rd5/174%75%+0.01
03/11/20255th8/158%50%-0.08
10/12/20258th8/158%30%-0.28
04/01/20264th22/10%70%+0.70
18/01/20266th80/10%71%+0.71
28/02/20264th50/10%67%+0.67
01/04/20267th80/10%50%+0.50