1

Hedic Gema

9yo Gelding · 10-3

Vincennes · Prix Georges Dreux - Monte · 1m 6f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

75/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 06/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 06/08C?2 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 0C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 08/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 020/05C?C0 @ Laval 03/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Agen 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 017/06C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1431/09C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Vincennes?8th8th0
2026-08-05Saint-Malo?8th8th0
2026-06-17Agen?4th4th0
2026-06-03Laval?9th9th0
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?4th4th0
2026-04-17Vincennes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0817/0417/061/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/08/20257th28/10%60%+0.60
26/02/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
08/04/20266th11/142%64%+0.22
17/04/20267th12/137%45%+0.09
20/05/20264th50/10%79%+0.79
03/06/20269th25/10%53%+0.53
17/06/20264th18/15%70%+0.65
05/08/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
01/09/20268th50/10%30%+0.30