5
Kelly De Banville
6yo Mare · 10-3
Vincennes · Prix Georges Dreux - Monte · 1m 6f 36y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Enghien | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-03 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 30/05/2025 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 70% | +0.15 |
| 07/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 03/01/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 10/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 01/09/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |