2

Distillato
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Clermont-ferrand - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Divonne Les Bains | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-08 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-07-23 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07/2024 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 73% | +0.17 |
| 04/08/2024 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 30% | -0.58 |
| 08/04/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 23/07/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 87% | +0.31 |
| 08/01/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 08/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 06/05/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 06/06/2026 | 9th | 1/1 | 95% | 33% | -0.61 |
| 18/08/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |