4
Horacio De Cerisy
9yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Clermont-ferrand - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 5 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Cabourg | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Vincennes | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-07 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength17%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2024 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.40 |
| 14/03/2025 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 21/04/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 25/05/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 07/08/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 44% | -0.11 |
| 06/09/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 04/10/2025 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 04/08/2026 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/09/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |