1
Joplin Des Crouas
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Clermont-ferrand - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vichy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 31% | +0.15 |
| 28/11/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 13/12/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 20/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 46% | +0.09 |
| 20/03/2026 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 40% | +0.35 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 90% | +0.74 |
| 02/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 12/09/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 79% | -0.11 |