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Journal Intime
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Clermont-ferrand - Attele · 1m 2f 96y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Chateaubriant | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
Delivery trend +2.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 13/12/2025 | 11th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 23/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 75% | -0.19 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 79% | -0.06 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 25/08/2026 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 80% | +0.17 |