3

La Star Des Isles

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#11

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 24/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 024/12C?4 @ Vincennes 13/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vincennes 04/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04/044C0 @ Vincennes 14/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 04/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 04/05C?C0 @ Cholet 09/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 24/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 024/06C?C0 @ Les Sables 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Craon 07/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 07/09C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-07Craon?7th7th0
2026-08-26Les Sables?3rd3rd0
2026-06-24Vichy?5th5th0
2026-06-09Cholet?3rd3rd0
2026-05-04Vichy?6th6th0
2026-04-14Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1214/0424/067/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength37%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/12/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
13/01/20267th18/15%40%+0.35
04/04/20264th6/168%67%-0.02
14/04/20262nd15/261%90%+0.29
04/05/20266th13/266%64%-0.02
09/06/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
24/06/20265th17/255%50%-0.05
26/08/20263rd18/15%75%+0.70
07/09/20267th6/168%65%-0.04