10

Lady Bird Jenilat

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#8

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 17/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 017/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 13/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 013/12C?3 @ Vincennes 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?3 @ Vincennes 04/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 03 @ Caen 09/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 09/0533 @ Enghien 09/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 13/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 013/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Chateaubriant?4th4th0
2026-08-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?0
2026-07-25Enghien30
2026-07-09Enghien33rd3rd0
2026-05-09Caen33rd3rd0
2026-04-04Vincennes312th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/1020/029/0513/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/10/20257th7/163%60%-0.03
31/10/20257th22/10%60%+0.60
13/12/20255th10/147%71%+0.24
20/02/20265th50/10%71%+0.71
17/03/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
04/04/202612th18/15%27%+0.21
09/05/20263rd8/158%85%+0.27
09/07/20263rd20/10%86%+0.86
13/09/20264th50/10%73%+0.73