13
Lestancia Bella
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/5
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Chateaubriant | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Vincennes | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/2025 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 91% | -0.01 |
| 16/05/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 58% | -0.27 |
| 17/10/2025 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 91% | -0.04 |
| 09/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 04/12/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 26/12/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 77% | +0.11 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |