11

Libertine Djob

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#13

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 21/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12821/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/03/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 05/04/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1345/04C?C0 @ Caen 10/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 134C0 @ Vincennes 27/06/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 027/06C?C0 @ Vichy 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 09/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1399/06C?C0 @ Vichy 24/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 03/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 03/08C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-03Cagnes-sur-Mer?5th5th0
2026-07-26Enghien?0
2026-06-24Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-06-09Vincennes?13th13th0
2026-05-04Vichy?4th4th0
2026-04-14Lyon-Parilly?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/1110/059/063/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend -0.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/11/20246th80/10%55%+0.55
22/03/20258th80/10%30%+0.30
05/04/20257th50/10%50%+0.50
10/05/20257th40/10%54%+0.54
27/06/202511th100/10%33%+0.33
04/05/20264th50/10%79%+0.79
09/06/202613th33/10%8%+0.08
24/06/20262nd9/153%88%+0.35
03/08/20265th40/10%60%+0.60