8
Linotte Du Mouchel
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#10
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
Delivery trend -7.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 05/12/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 25/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/01/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 04/03/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 82% | -0.02 |
| 24/08/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |