7
Little Italy
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Enghien | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-26 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 07/07/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 83% | +0.23 |
| 27/07/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 17/10/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 06/06/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 53% | -0.20 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |