12

Louange Castelets

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chatelaillon 09/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 13/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 013/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 04 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 030/044C0 @ Cholet 09/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04 @ Enghien 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 011/074C0 @ Chatelaillon 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 02 @ Vincennes 12/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 012/092projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Vincennes29th9th0
2026-07-29Chatelaillon?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11Enghien41st1st0
2026-06-09Cholet?4th4th0
2026-04-30Vincennes44th4th0
2026-04-14Vincennes?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/1114/0411/0712/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend -1.6% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/11/20252nd5/287%93%+0.06
21/11/20252nd13/891%93%+0.01
13/12/20252nd11/486%93%+0.07
14/04/20265th11/486%60%-0.26
30/04/20264th9/153%79%+0.26
09/06/20264th7/282%77%-0.05
11/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
29/07/20262nd7/491%86%-0.05
12/09/20269th11/271%38%-0.33