4
Lunga Des Brousses
5yo Filly · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 19/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 06/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 28/09/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 53% | -0.05 |
| 12/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 20/11/2025 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.68 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/07/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 12/08/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |