2

Lyra Poterie

5yo Filly · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix Jonel Chyriacos - Attele · 1m 5f 92y

#6

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 22/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 022/08C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 01/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 021/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Cherbourg 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 06/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/05C?4 @ Enghien 11/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 031/07C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Cabourg?1st1st0
2026-07-11Enghien44th4th0
2026-05-26Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-04-30Saint Brieuc40
2026-04-21Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-04-06Cherbourg?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0813/1226/0531/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

Delivery trend +1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20252nd17/255%91%+0.36
01/10/20253rd22/10%85%+0.85
21/11/20253rd20/10%86%+0.86
13/12/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
06/04/20267th100/10%57%+0.57
21/04/20265th28/10%60%+0.60
26/05/20262nd22/10%93%+0.93
11/07/20264th25/10%70%+0.70
31/07/20261st10/147%100%+0.53