18
Kalipette Jeloca
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Taverny - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-05 | Toulouse | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Argentan | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Saint Brieuc | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 08/08/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 22/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 04/10/2025 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 09/04/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 30/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |