8

Karelle Du Dorat

6yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Taverny - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 07/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 07/02C?C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Hvy 0C0 @ Caen 11/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 011/10C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 09/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 06 @ Nantes 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 016/0164 @ Nantes 14/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Cherbourg 14/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 014/06C?7 @ Pornichet 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 17/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 017/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Lisieux?1st1st0
2026-07-18Pornichet71st1st0
2026-06-14Cherbourg?7th7th0
2026-05-14Nantes410th10th0
2026-01-16Nantes63rd3rd0
2025-12-23Argentan?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/029/1114/0617/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/02/20253rd11/271%83%+0.12
17/09/202512th40/10%21%+0.21
11/10/20258th6/168%42%-0.27
09/11/20253rd13/266%87%+0.21
16/01/20263rd6/168%87%+0.18
14/05/202610th40/10%36%+0.36
14/06/20267th9/488%57%-0.31
18/07/20261st18/15%100%+0.95
17/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47