8

Karelle Du Dorat
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Taverny - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Pornichet | 7 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cherbourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Nantes | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +6.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 17/09/2025 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 11/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 42% | -0.27 |
| 09/11/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 16/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 87% | +0.18 |
| 14/05/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 14/06/2026 | 7th | 9/4 | 88% | 57% | -0.31 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 17/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |