1
Katharina De Mai
6yo Mare · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Taverny - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Les Sables | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-03 | Feurs | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Saint Galmier | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/10/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 10/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 30% | -0.31 |
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.58 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |