14
Kelrapide Du Lupin
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Taverny - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
80%
Place Prob
53%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 1.3 /10 (raw 2.9)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Feurs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Chatelaillon | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Chatelaillon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-06 | Pontchateau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/01/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 93% | +0.22 |
| 29/04/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 12/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |
| 19/07/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 15/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 29/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 93% | -0.03 |