6

Kiara Des Bordes

6yo Mare · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Taverny - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chatelaillon 13/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 013/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 19/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Vire 01/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 01/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 14/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 18/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 018/12C?6 @ Saint Brieuc 23/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m7f144y 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 011/02C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 06 @ Pornichet 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 027/086projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Pornichet65th5th0
2026-08-05Saint-Malo?0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?6th6th0
2026-03-13Enghien50
2026-02-11Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-23Saint Brieuc62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0714/1011/0227/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/07/20258th50/10%30%+0.30
19/08/20252nd15/261%92%+0.32
01/09/20254th33/10%81%+0.81
14/10/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
18/12/20252nd6/168%93%+0.25
23/01/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
11/02/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
07/06/20266th13/266%58%-0.07
27/08/20265th9/153%64%+0.11