15
Ksar D'essarts
6yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Taverny - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Cherbourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Laval | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Graignes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Les Sables | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 8-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength34%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/09/2024 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 13/04/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 29/04/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 69% | -0.13 |
| 12/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 25/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 06/04/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 06/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |