5
Lamentin
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Cabourg | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Argentan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 4-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 15/02/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 23/01/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 14/03/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 94% | +0.52 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 14/07/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 70% | +0.65 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |