15
Le Chef
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#10
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength59%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2025 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/04/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 30/07/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 11/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 13/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 07/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 58% | +0.11 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |