12

Leboss D'havaroche

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength19%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 05/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 19/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/04C?4 @ Vincennes 06/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Nantes 25/01/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 025/014C0 @ Laval 18/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Enghien 16/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/0455 @ La Capelle 19/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 05 @ Vincennes 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/085projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Vincennes55th5th0
2026-07-20La Capelle?0
2026-06-19La Capelle52nd2nd0
2026-05-22Graignes50
2026-05-11Vichy?0
2026-04-16Enghien53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/016/0116/0422/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +6.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/01/20253rd8/158%86%+0.28
04/04/20254th33/10%70%+0.70
19/04/20259th7/163%47%-0.16
06/01/202611th100/10%0%0.00
25/01/202610th50/10%25%+0.25
18/02/20267th28/10%60%+0.60
16/04/20263rd25/10%82%+0.82
19/06/20262nd14/126%93%+0.67
22/08/20265th50/10%60%+0.60