7

Leo Viva

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#13

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Mauquenchy 15/01/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 015/01C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 07/02/2024 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07/02C?C0 @ Graignes 12/11/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 012/11C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 09/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 24/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/11C?C0 @ Chartres 31/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 031/05C?5 @ Laval 10/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 010/095projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10Laval53rd3rd0
2026-05-31Chartres?4th4th0
2025-11-24Le Croise-Laroche?8th8th0
2025-11-09Mauquenchy?5th5th0
2025-10-15Cabourg?0
2025-09-25Laval?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/019/1110/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20247th28/10%33%+0.33
07/02/20248th50/10%30%+0.30
12/11/20248th9/153%22%-0.30
09/11/20255th14/126%73%+0.47
24/11/20258th14/126%53%+0.27
31/05/20264th11/142%75%+0.33
10/09/20263rd6/492%85%-0.07