7

Leo Viva
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#13
Rank
Odds
13/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Chartres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-24 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Mauquenchy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-15 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-09-25 | Laval | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2024 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/02/2024 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 12/11/2024 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 22% | -0.30 |
| 09/11/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 24/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 53% | +0.27 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 75% | +0.33 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 85% | -0.07 |