2
Lorenzaccio
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#8
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Les Sables | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Langon-Libourne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | Mauquenchy | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 90% | +0.04 |
| 19/08/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 58% | -0.18 |
| 26/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 02/12/2025 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 85% | +0.16 |
| 03/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.10 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |