3
Louison De Forgan
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#11
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-02 | Maure De Bretagne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-14 | Cordemais | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1446% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 76% | +0.19 |
| 14/01/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 02/02/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 56% | +0.50 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 28/08/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |