9
Love Actually
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#14
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Saint Brieuc | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 140% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2023 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 17/10/2023 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 03/01/2024 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 14% | +0.09 |
| 23/01/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 17/03/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 91% | -0.02 |
| 28/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 44% | -0.37 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |