14

Lovi Cadence

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y

#5

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 13/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/08C?C0 @ La Capelle 03/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 021/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 18/11/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 07/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1397/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 012/065C0 @ Chartres 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Mauquenchy 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Mauquenchy?3rd3rd0
2026-07-20La Capelle?0
2026-06-28Chartres?1st1st0
2026-06-12Vincennes510th10th0
2026-05-30Caen50
2026-04-19La Capelle?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0818/1112/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength36%

Delivery trend -0.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20256th66/10%50%+0.50
03/09/20258th50/10%50%+0.50
21/10/202511th50/10%29%+0.29
18/11/202512th125/10%35%+0.35
07/12/20259th80/10%27%+0.27
17/12/202511th66/10%33%+0.33
12/06/202610th125/10%31%+0.31
28/06/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
05/08/20263rd10/147%78%+0.30