4
Ludo Paroyo
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Vincennes · Prix De Milly La Foret - Attele · 1m 6f 36y
#12
Rank
Odds
45/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Caen | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 148% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 13/05/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 23/01/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 19/03/2026 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |