2

Audi's World

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 65

Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#2

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

31%

Place Prob

32%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength64%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 20/10/2024 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS20/10C6C7 @ Woodbine 26/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 67 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/06/2025 · OR 67 parC7 @ Woodbine 25/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 75 · 7f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/07/2025 · OR 75 par25/07C7OR 75C7 @ Woodbine 24/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 79 · 1m110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/08/2025 · OR 79 parC7 @ Woodbine 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 74 · 7f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/05/2026 · OR 74 par23/05C7OR 74C7 @ Woodbine 14/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 72 · 6f110y 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 72 parC9 @ Woodbine 07/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 67 · 7f 124 · below its mark07/08/2026 · OR 67 par7/08C9OR 67C9 @ Woodbine 28/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 64 · 1m110y Fas 124 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 64 par28/08C9OR 64projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Woodbine?2nd2nd0
2026-08-07Woodbine?4th4th0
2026-06-14Woodbine?6th4th+2
2026-05-23Woodbine?4th2nd+2
2025-08-24Woodbine?5th3rd+2
2025-07-25Woodbine?4th2nd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/1024/087/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/10/202411th25/10%0%0.00
26/06/20253rd4/179%60%-0.19
25/07/20254th9/276%40%-0.36
24/08/20255th10/147%50%+0.03
23/05/20264th10/1195%63%-0.33
14/06/20266th3/184%38%-0.47
07/08/20264th9/488%63%-0.26
28/08/20262nd1/195%86%-0.09