3
Bildean
5yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 64
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -12.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 07/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |