1

Encore Mo

3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 65

Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +1.6
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 16/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS16/11C7C7 @ Woodbine 23/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 56 · 6f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark23/11/2025 · OR 56 par23/11C7OR 56C9 @ Woodbine 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 60 · 7f 119 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 60 par10/05C9OR 60C7 @ Woodbine 11/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 62 · 1m Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 62 par11/06C7OR 62C7 @ Woodbine 06/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 65 · 7f110y Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 65 par6/07C7OR 65projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Woodbine?5th3rd+2
2026-06-11Woodbine?4th2nd+2
2026-05-10Woodbine?6th6th0
2025-11-23Woodbine?6th4th+2
2025-11-16Woodbine?6th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/1123/1110/0511/066/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/11/20256th10/147%29%-0.19
23/11/20256th16/116%17%+0.01
10/05/20266th20/10%38%+0.38
11/06/20264th25/10%50%+0.50
06/07/20265th9/276%43%-0.33