Fog D'oro
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 72
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-06 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 19/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 10/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 06/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 88% | -0.05 |
| 02/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |