Found Money
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
13%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2025-08-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 27/07/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 11/10/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 15/11/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 13% | -0.76 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 38% | -0.28 |