7
El Cohete
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 100
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +10.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/5 | 94% | 60% | -0.34 |
| 07/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 15/11/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 04/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 43% | +0.06 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |