8
Gilt Edge
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 91
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength30%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 20% | -0.62 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 12/10/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 57% | -0.24 |
| 30/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 10/05/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 30/05/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |