Quadzilla
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 83
Woodbine · Race 10 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-19 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 28/09/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 30/11/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 26/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.08 |
| 23/08/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |