6
Magic Modie
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 75
Woodbine · Race 2 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-16 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
Delivery trend +7.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 78% | +0.07 |
| 12/09/2025 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 03/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/10/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 30% | -0.38 |
| 14/11/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 11/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |