5
Poetic Amy
5yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 68
Woodbine · Race 2 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-05-08 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Aqueduct | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 29/11/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 23/01/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 31/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 18/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 17% | -0.62 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 06/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |