3
Twisting Pistons
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 79
Woodbine · Race 2 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-23 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 07/11/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 20% | -0.66 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/08/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |