6
Southern Style
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 4 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2025-10-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05/2025 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2025 | 10th | 33/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 07/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 30/10/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 33% | -0.48 |
| 07/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |