4
Twentytwo Soles
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 84
Woodbine · Race 4 - Optional Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-16 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +11.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |
| 10/10/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 16/11/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 07/12/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 19/07/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |