4
Eubank
3yo Colt · 8-8 · OR 79
Woodbine · Race 5 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
21%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 3.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-11-30 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 09/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 83% | -0.04 |
| 14/12/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |