1
Chairman Bob
7yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 94
Woodbine · Race 6 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
96%
Place Prob
78%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-11-21 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Woodbine | ? | −1 | ||
| 2025-10-04 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 16/06/2024 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 23/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 06/09/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 04/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/11/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 07/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 11/07/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |