4
Classic Dancer
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 85
Woodbine · Race 6 - Starter Allowance · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-07 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -3.6% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 19/09/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 75% | +0.38 |
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 07/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 85% | +0.14 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 86% | -0.05 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |