4
Auntie's Bambino
3yo Colt · 8-9 · OR 89
Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Special Weight · 6f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-06-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +7.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 14% | -0.52 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 21/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 26/07/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |